Global Strategy
Move Over China, Here Comes India
From a market standpoint, as opposed to a geopolitical one, there has so far been remarkably little fallout from recent…
With Rates Down Big, How Can a Hard Landing Still be on the Table?
The bond market has staged a big rally of late helped by growing confidence that the US monetary cycle is…
Move Over Core Inflation, Headline is All that Matters Now
Amidst the never ending focus on Federal Reserve policy there remains the remarkably undiscussed issue of exactly which measure of…
India Stocks – Buy the Dip
This writer arrived in Delhi of late to see the Indian capital lit up like a wedding cake in the…
America’s Trade Policy Hypocrisy
The so-called Global South is increasingly wary of what it views as the double standards of the developed world. This…
A Treasury Maturity Wall is Coming, Is Your Portfolio Ready?
Geopolitics is back driving the newsflow with events in the Middle East. Meanwhile, there is also the emerging force of…
Will Xi Allow the US Style Housing Bailout China Desperately Needs?
Higher for longer has undoubtedly been the consensus among investors in recent months. Money markets have repriced when rate cuts…
Where to Hide if the US Government Bond Selloff Continues
This writer remains a structural bear on US Treasury bonds and indeed also on G7 government bonds. Yet a tactical…
Inflation Could be the Casualty of OPEC’s Return to Oil Market Dominance
The oil price has corrected in recent days. The Brent crude oil price has declined by 13% since peaking in…
If the Japanese Bond Yield Hits 1%, it Could Shake the US Treasury Market
The key issue for world markets remains when monetary tightening is going to bite in the US economy. If the…