Global Strategy
Regulation of Big Tech is Underappreciated by the Market
The view here remains that the Big Tech stocks’ market capitalisation peaked as a percentage of the S&P500 at the…
No Rate Hikes Until 2023 – Or Maybe Not…
The benefit of the doubt continues to be given to the cyclical trade, which also continues to be confirmed by…
The Post-COVID Rebound Will Benefit Commodities – But Beware A Taper Tantrum
The US bond market sell-off has continued and with it the increased potential for an inflation scare. Still, there is…
Inflation About to Run Hot, Will Government’s Panic?
Inflation expectations remain the key variable to monitor. The US 5-year 5-year forward inflation expectations rate and the 10-year breakeven…
The Cyclical Rebound Hinges on the Success of COVID Vaccines
Covid cases continue to decline on a global basis as vaccine rollouts continue. The 7-day average daily new case count…
Bull Market Correction or Nasty Unwind – Bond Investors Will Decide
The view here remains to continue to favour the back-to-normal cyclical trade on the view that the vaccine rollout story…
The Bond Market vs Yield Curve Control: Who Blinks First
The base case here since May 2020 has been that the Federal Reserve will adopt some form of yield curve…
Coming to America – Yield Curve Control
This column has tended to focus primarily on monetary policy as it relates to the trend in financial markets. But…
Asia Will Outperform in a World of Weak Dollars and Accelerating Inflation
The view here remains that the key issue facing investors in 2021 is the Federal Reserve’s policy response coming out…
India is Starting a Cyclical Recovery – Buy Indian Stocks
As good a stock market investment story in Asia as any is India. The Indian economy is almost back to…