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global strategy

When Does the Stock Market Trigger the Infamous Fed “Put”?

No one should be surprised to see markets attempting to rally after the tumultuous start to the year.  Bear markets…

6 Fed Rate Hikes, Yeah Right!

It remains all about the coming Fed tightening cycle, not only in terms of rate hikes but also Fed balance…

Will China Ever Give Up On COVID Lockdowns?

If this writer has continued to give the mainland authorities the benefit of the doubt in terms of managing the…

Bond Investors Should Zig When the Fed Zags

The contrast between the US and China monetary cycles has become crystal clear in recent weeks. has announced its most…

Bank Lending Holds the Key to Future Inflation

The pro-cyclical inflation story keeps building as market pundits have competed to increase their 2022 Fed rate hike forecasts ever…

If the US Forces an Energy Transition, Inflation Will Follow

The Time “person” of the year award is often something easy to make fun of in the way that magazine…

The Taper Tantrum Ain’t Over Yet

This writer remains of the view that the US CPI report is now the most important US data point monthly…

Can Disruptive Investing Survive Higher Interest Rates?

There is no doubt that expectations of monetary tightening are accelerating as reflected in the damage done to the profitless…

All Eyes are On the Fed’s Favorite Gauge of Inflation

Shoot first and ask questions later. This is the perhaps understandable and certainly predictable response of governments to the emergence…