global strategy
The Current State of the US Economy – Lower Rates and AI Angst
The Federal Reserve has remained on pause at last week’s FOMC meeting as regards interest rates which is only to…
Understanding Argentina’s Economic Reawakening
As financial markets bet about the policies of the Trump administration, be it DOGE spending cuts or threatened tariffs, it…
Making Sense of Trump’s Worldview – “Spheres of Influence”
The most interesting, and to most people doubtless the most surprising, part of Donald Trump’s inauguration speech back in January…
Brazil Deep Dive: Is This Market Worth Your Time?
This writer was recently in Brazil for the first time in a year. There has been an incredible change of…
Two Years is Too Long…The AI Conundrum
It can legitimately be described as the stampede from wokeism. Since Donald Trump’s decisive electoral victory in November, this writer…
The Two Big Risks for Stocks in 2025
US inflation data has become important again given Jerome Powell’s hawkish pivot at the December meeting and the more pro-cyclical…
Why The Failure of DOGE is Our Base Case
One issue facing investors this year is the self-evident contradictory nature of President Donald Trump’s policy agenda and how those…
Have Tariffs Taken Rate Cuts Off the Table for 2025?
The relatively hawkish message sent by Jerome Powell at the last two Federal Reserve meetings suggests that further interest rate…
Is China Weaponizing US Dollar Bonds?
Wall Street has bought to remain focused on the bullish side of Donald Trump’s agenda, namely tax cuts and deregulation,…