Macroeconomics
6 Fed Rate Hikes, Yeah Right!
It remains all about the coming Fed tightening cycle, not only in terms of rate hikes but also Fed balance…
Will China Ever Give Up On COVID Lockdowns?
If this writer has continued to give the mainland authorities the benefit of the doubt in terms of managing the…
Bond Investors Should Zig When the Fed Zags
The contrast between the US and China monetary cycles has become crystal clear in recent weeks. has announced its most…
Bank Lending Holds the Key to Future Inflation
The pro-cyclical inflation story keeps building as market pundits have competed to increase their 2022 Fed rate hike forecasts ever…
If the US Forces an Energy Transition, Inflation Will Follow
The Time “person” of the year award is often something easy to make fun of in the way that magazine…
The Taper Tantrum Ain’t Over Yet
This writer remains of the view that the US CPI report is now the most important US data point monthly…
Can Disruptive Investing Survive Higher Interest Rates?
There is no doubt that expectations of monetary tightening are accelerating as reflected in the damage done to the profitless…
All Eyes are On the Fed’s Favorite Gauge of Inflation
Shoot first and ask questions later. This is the perhaps understandable and certainly predictable response of governments to the emergence…
Japanese Stocks Could Outperform All if Inflation Isn’t Transitory
The inflation debate continues to percolate as the Federal Reserve has finally dropped the word “transitory”. This writer continues to…