The U.S. Election Cannabis Playbook Part 1

The election night playbook will take you through the three potential election scenarios and how they will impact cannabis laws over the next few years.

The best 1:28 you can spend as a cannabis investor

*For the specific stocks we are buying, check out part 2 of our playbook.

Scenario 1: Democrats Win it All

Biden wins the presidency and the Senate flips democratic.

This is a dream scenario for cannabis regulations.

Soon after the president is sworn in he will decriminalize cannabis or loosen regulations enough to give businesses full access to the U.S. banking system (similar to the STATES act currently floating around the House).

Next will be full nationwide medical legalization either in 2021 or 2022.

Nationwide recreational legalization is also on the horizon a year or two after medical but it will take some time to build up political momentum.

Scenario 2: Democratic President but the Senate Stays Republican

In this scenario, investors can also be assured that banking access will be granted to the industry.

Banking access lowers the cost of borrowing and increases efficiency vs having to transact solely in cash.

With Biden as president and the House sympathetic to cannabis there will also be decriminalization in his first year of office.

Subscribe Now
Sign up to get Grizzle's latest news and analysis in your inbox!

Sending Message...

However, a Republican Senate hostile to cannabis will make it hard to pass nationwide medical or recreational legalization.

We think the most likely outcome is still state by state legalization though the timeline to a critical mass of legal states will be shortened considerably

Scenario 3: The Status Quo

A Trump victory and Republicans holding onto control of the Senate will mean more of the same for cannabis laws.

State by state legalization will continue until there is a critical mass of states to push decriminalization and legalization through Congress.

The green wave is still happening, but in this scenario, it will take longer than in the other election outcomes.

In Part 2 we’ll move from regulations to stock picking.

Which US cannabis stocks to own depending on each election outcome.

For free access to the detailed holdings of every Grizzle cannabis portfolio simply enter your name and email address below.

The opinions provided in this article are those of the author and do not constitute investment advice. Readers should assume that the author and/or employees of Grizzle hold positions in the company or companies mentioned in the article. For more information, please see our Content Disclaimer.

Subscribe Now
Sign up to get Grizzle's latest news and analysis in your inbox!

Sending Message...

Categories: Marijuana Analysis
Scott Willis: Scott has over 15 years of institutional investment management experience analyzing both debt and equity securities. He has held senior investment research roles at Credit Suisse, and TD Asset Management. His core areas of investment coverage at Grizzle include marijuana, energy and technology. Scott is a CFA charterholder and has been featured on Bloomberg, CBC, CNBC and Macleans.
Related Post
Disqus Comments Loading...