Global Strategy
The Research & Quant 2025 Market Outlook
It may just turn out to be the case that the most important Federal Reserve meeting this year happened just…
2025 Will Be the Year of Memory, Not GPUs
To state the obvious, the AI story has been the key driver of the US stock market since the thematic…
Private Credit’s Incredible Vanishing Cashflow
The flow into private credit continues to be viewed by this writer as one of several factors helping explain the…
Has China’s Property Market Bottomed?
Has China’s property market bottomed? There has been a noticeable pick up in residential property transactions in the past two…
Economic Boom? What Does the Data Say?
The consensus of markets prior to the US presidential election was that a Federal Reserve easing cycle has begun and…
Will Trump End the Ukraine Conflict?
It has all been about the US presidential election of late with the initial market reaction to Donald Trump’s victory…
Why India Will Be The Best Emerging Market Over the Next 10 Years
With everybody focused on the US presidential election, this is a good time to look again at India which this…
Evaluating World Geopolitics and a Trump Victory
On the US presidential election, the ElectionBettingOdds.com website now shows 61.4% odds of a Trump presidency compared with 38.1% for…
Is Labor Hoarding Masking Job Market Weakness?
US employment data remains key to stress-test the extent of Fed easing expectations currently priced into markets. This is all…
The Underestimated Risk of Deflation in America
If Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell signaled the commencement of monetary easing in his 23 August speech at Jackson Hole,…