Macro Battleship
Bull Market Correction or Nasty Unwind – Bond Investors Will Decide
The view here remains to continue to favour the back-to-normal cyclical trade on the view that the vaccine rollout story…
The Bond Market vs Yield Curve Control: Who Blinks First
The base case here since May 2020 has been that the Federal Reserve will adopt some form of yield curve…
Coming to America – Yield Curve Control
This column has tended to focus primarily on monetary policy as it relates to the trend in financial markets. But…
Asia Will Outperform in a World of Weak Dollars and Accelerating Inflation
The view here remains that the key issue facing investors in 2021 is the Federal Reserve’s policy response coming out…
India is Starting a Cyclical Recovery – Buy Indian Stocks
As good a stock market investment story in Asia as any is India. The Indian economy is almost back to…
The “Passive Put” and Tesla’s Bitcoin Wildcard
The advice here remains to stick with the “back to normal” trade despite the scare over the mutating virus in…
China Still a Manufacturing Powerhouse. Buy the RMB, Sell the Dollar.
The US Dollar Index has over the past week fallen to its lowest level since April 2018. US Dollar Index…
Southern European Stocks Looking Juicy Driven by Gov’t Bond Buying
That a mass roll-out of vaccines is now on the horizon, on a six-month view, remains a reason to stay…
Post-COVID Liftoff: Cyclicals, Gold & Bitcoin
If anybody was in any doubt that cyclical stocks would rally sharply on the re-opening trade, they got the evidence…