Macro Battleship
China Still a Manufacturing Powerhouse. Buy the RMB, Sell the Dollar.
The US Dollar Index has over the past week fallen to its lowest level since April 2018. US Dollar Index…
Southern European Stocks Looking Juicy Driven by Gov’t Bond Buying
That a mass roll-out of vaccines is now on the horizon, on a six-month view, remains a reason to stay…
Post-COVID Liftoff: Cyclicals, Gold & Bitcoin
If anybody was in any doubt that cyclical stocks would rally sharply on the re-opening trade, they got the evidence…
With a Blue Wave Likely, is Big Tech in Trouble?
The “Blue Wave” is clearly the base case in the forthcoming US presidential election. Still, markets have become nervous again…
We Are Witnessing the Beginning of the End of the Deflationary Era
The cyclical trade continues to be recommended here, despite the ongoing COVID “second wave”. On this point, it is interesting…
Expensive Green New Deal will Drive Energy Prices Higher not Lower
The Economist has a long-established tradition of contrarian cover signals, as have other business magazines, some of which are now…
The Virus is Burning Itself Out, Buy Stock Market Weakness
Joe Biden’s most important running mate, Covid-19, has clearly turned massively in his favour. The 7-day average daily new case…
Developed Market Bonds are Dead Money, Buy Discounted Cyclicals
Is this really the top for Big Tech’s leadership of the US stock market, and the related unprecedented relative outperformance…
China Offers Safety in a World of Central Banks Gone Crazy
The Federal Reserve has duly delivered on the expected softening of the inflation target in the latest FOMC meeting in…