Macroeconomics
Inflation Could Drive a Massive Rotation from Bonds to Stocks
If an inflation scare is coming, it did not come with the March CPI inflation report which was a non-event…
The Biggest Inflation Scare Since the 1980’s is Coming
The cyclical rebound in America should continue to surprise on the upside in terms of the pent-up demand potential, a…
The Energy and Bank Stock Rebound Will Continue, Buy the Dip
There has been a bit of a pullback in the cyclical trade with US energy stocks down 11.8% from their…
Eurozone Yield Curve Control is Happening, is This Bad for the Euro?
The Federal Reserve statement at the last FOMC meeting in March displayed no concern about the then 67bp rise in…
China is the One Safe Haven for Bond Investors
One recommended trade here for global bond investors has been to sell US Treasury bonds, and indeed all G7 government…
Inflation Expectations Approaching the Point of No Return
The past investment quarter has seen rotation into the cyclical value trade in world stock markets after fund managers finally…
Regulation of Big Tech is Underappreciated by the Market
The view here remains that the Big Tech stocks’ market capitalisation peaked as a percentage of the S&P500 at the…
No Rate Hikes Until 2023 – Or Maybe Not…
The benefit of the doubt continues to be given to the cyclical trade, which also continues to be confirmed by…
The Post-COVID Rebound Will Benefit Commodities – But Beware A Taper Tantrum
The US bond market sell-off has continued and with it the increased potential for an inflation scare. Still, there is…