Macroeconomics
China Still a Manufacturing Powerhouse. Buy the RMB, Sell the Dollar.
The US Dollar Index has over the past week fallen to its lowest level since April 2018. US Dollar Index…
Southern European Stocks Looking Juicy Driven by Gov’t Bond Buying
That a mass roll-out of vaccines is now on the horizon, on a six-month view, remains a reason to stay…
The Landscape is Shifting for Chinese Fintech
The US presidential election appears to be finally over. But it remains unclear how the issue of regulation of “Big…
How the Fed Reacts to a Vaccine Driven Recovery Will Determine the Market’s Fate
As the media focuses on the closely contested US presidential race, as well as, of course, the Covid “second wave”,…
With a Blue Wave Likely, is Big Tech in Trouble?
The “Blue Wave” is clearly the base case in the forthcoming US presidential election. Still, markets have become nervous again…
We Are Witnessing the Beginning of the End of the Deflationary Era
The cyclical trade continues to be recommended here, despite the ongoing COVID “second wave”. On this point, it is interesting…
Expensive Green New Deal will Drive Energy Prices Higher not Lower
The Economist has a long-established tradition of contrarian cover signals, as have other business magazines, some of which are now…
Developed Market Bonds are Dead Money, Buy Discounted Cyclicals
Is this really the top for Big Tech’s leadership of the US stock market, and the related unprecedented relative outperformance…
China Offers Safety in a World of Central Banks Gone Crazy
The Federal Reserve has duly delivered on the expected softening of the inflation target in the latest FOMC meeting in…